A tropical depression labeled One-E has formed in the eastern Pacific, and forecasters expect it to strengthen into Tropical Storm Amanda around Wednesday, June 3—though guidance also points to weakening after peak intensity. The National Hurricane Center is a
The National Hurricane Center is tracking a new system in the eastern Pacific, and for now it’s far from land—but the forecast clock is already ticking.
A tropical depression has formed in the basin and is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm on Wednesday, June 3. In its June 3 advisory. the hurricane center said the depression—currently labeled One-E—is located about 1. 450 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph.
Forecasters said strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, with the system likely to become a tropical storm later on June 3. After it reaches peak intensity, the hurricane center expects weakening, driven by a combination of shear, a drier air mass and upper-level convergence.
One-E is moving northwest, with a slightly faster northwestward to west-northwestward motion forecast through Friday, June 5. For the moment, the hurricane center said the system poses no threat to land.
Once One-E becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Amanda—the first name on the Pacific storm list for 2026.
The hurricane center is not just focused on One-E. Alongside it, forecasters are monitoring two other areas in the eastern Pacific.
One of those areas involves an offshore low pressure expected to form late this week off Central America and southern Mexico. Forecast guidance calls for environmental conditions that appear conducive for that system to strengthen into a tropical depression late this weekend or early next week. The hurricane center gave it a 50% chance of tropical development within the next week.
A second area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week offshore of southern and southwestern Mexico. In that case, the hurricane center said environmental conditions could allow for gradual development as it moves slowly northward. The odds there are lower: forecasters assigned a 20% chance of tropical development.
Pacific storms rarely become land problems, and that’s part of the backdrop for this tracking season. The vast majority—roughly 85% to 90%—of storms that form in the Pacific never threaten land and often spin out to sea without consequences. Even so. they can occasionally affect Hawaii. the west coast of Mexico. or the Southwest U.S. bringing heavy flooding and rainfall.
tropical depression One-E Tropical Storm Amanda National Hurricane Center eastern Pacific hurricane season 2026 Pacific storm list Baja California hurricane tracking tropical development chance
So is Amanda already a hurricane or like not yet??
My cousin in Baja said something about “Amanda” like it’s basically coming inland… but the article says no threat to land? I don’t get it. Tropical names always sound like they’re headed for somebody.
“First name on the Pacific storm list for 2026” is wild lol. Like we’re speedrunning storms now. Also 35 mph winds doesn’t feel like nothing if it suddenly changes direction, right? Forecasting still feels like guesswork to me.
They always say “no threat to land” and then everyone’s surprised when it hits Hawaii or the coast. I’m not saying it will, but the 85% stat doesn’t comfort me at all. One-E is 1,450 miles southwest of Baja… okay so what does that mean for Southern California then? Like do we just watch the vibes and hope.