Keith Mitchell tees off at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club June 18–21 with a steady U.S. Open résumé and a clear betting profile shaped by his recent form—strong off the tee, weaker on the greens—after a run that included a fifth-place finish at THE CJ CUP Byron Ne
Keith Mitchell’s last U.S. Open didn’t end in the kind of finish he’ll be aiming for this time. In 2023, he finished tied for 20th at 1-over, carding 68-71-71-71 at Shinnecock Hills.
Now he’s back—this time for the 2026 U.S. Open—scheduled for June 18–21 at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, with the hope that his game looks a little more like the one that has helped him climb recently.
His betting profile starts with how his last stretch has treated him. Mitchell has finished in the top-20 twice over his last ten appearances. The highlight came at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson, where he finished fifth at 22-under with a score of 64-66-68-64 (21 under).
There’s also a specific pattern that stands out when you look at what he’s been doing in the numbers. Across his past five tournaments, Mitchell has averaged 0.694 Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Over the same span, his putting has been a rougher spot, with an average of -0.194 Strokes Gained: Putting. Still, his overall run has stayed positive, with an average of 0.632 Strokes Gained: Total.
That mix matters when you think about how a U.S. Open can swing: if you’re finding the fairway more often than not, and giving yourself consistent chances to score, it can keep you near the right part of the leaderboard—especially on rounds where the greens don’t cooperate.
The season snapshot reinforces the same story. Mitchell’s Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee average this season sits at 0.648, ranking him fifth on TOUR. His Driving Distance average is 314.3 yards, which ranks 18th on TOUR.
But approach play has been more of a mixed bag. His Strokes Gained: Approach the Green mark this season is 0.252, ranking 56th on TOUR. He also sits 14th in Greens in Regulation rate, at 69.44%.
On the greens, the profile turns. Mitchell’s Strokes Gained: Putting this season is -0.282, placing him 121st on TOUR. He ranks 99th with a Putts Per Round average of 28.86 and is 16th by breaking par 24.40% of the time.
Off the scoreboard, there’s still plenty that keeps him in the conversation. Mitchell has earned 435 FedExCup Regular Season points, placing him 66th. His Bogey Avoidance rate is 14.58%, ranking him 51st.
Here’s the broader week-to-week picture from recent events leading into this U.S. Open. On June 14. 2026. he finished T29 at the RBC Canadian Open with scores of 67-64-72-69. finishing at 8-under and earning 23.250 FedExCup points. On May 31, 2026, at the Charles Schwab Challenge, he made the cut and ended MC, scoring 71-69.
At THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson on May 24, 2026, he went 64-66-68-64 for 22-under and 110.000 FedExCup points. A week earlier, May 17, 2026, at the PGA Championship, he placed T6, carding 73-69-71-73 for +6. He followed that with a T5 at the Cadillac Championship on May 3, 2026, shooting 74-72-76-65 for -1.
Earlier still, Mitchell logged T30 at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans on April 26, 2026, with 63-71-68-66 for 20-under. On April 5, 2026, at the Valero Texas Open, he finished MC, posting 74-69-1. In March, he placed T14 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open on March 29, 2026, with 68-66-71-65 for 10-under. On March 15, 2026, at THE PLAYERS Championship, he finished T4, going 72-68-72-76 for even par. Then, on March 8, 2026, at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, he finished T33 with 69-76-73-69 for 12-under.
For bettors. the numbers are almost a map of what Mitchell will need at Shinnecock Hills from June 18–21: the ability to win strokes off the tee and turn fairway position into scoring opportunities. even if putting variance lands him in tougher spots. His U.S. Open floor in 2023 was solid—tied for 20th at 1-over after 68-71-71-71.
All stats and performance details in this profile are accurate for Mitchell as of the start of the U.S. Open.
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Keith Mitchell U.S. Open 2026 U.S. Open Shinnecock Hills PGA TOUR betting profile Strokes Gained Off-the-Tee Strokes Gained Putting FedExCup points