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Grass turns up the pressure: Paul faces van de Zandschulp

ATP Queen’s – After Day 4 begins with a string of straight-set results, the Queen’s Club slate shifts toward higher-stakes matchups—led by Tommy Paul’s showdown with Botic van de Zandschulp, alongside Medjedovic vs Humbert, Moutet vs Davidovich Fokina, and Hijikata vs Lehec

Day 4 at ATP Queen’s Club feels like the tournament is finally tightening its grip.

The early rounds already left a clear imprint: all matches in the first stages were decided in straight sets. Now the grass is about to host a more contested day. with multiple players stepping out knowing the next result could reshape how they’re talked about—especially for those who want to prove they belong at this level.

Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert is first on the Wednesday slate. Humbert leads the head-to-head 1-0. The matchup leans toward Humbert on the surface. the kind of conditions where you’d expect the game to travel well. Medjedovic brings a heavier serve-and-forehand profile that could test the steadiness of Humbert’s baseline rhythm. The catch is that Humbert hasn’t been close to his best in recent weeks. Even so, the prediction here is that Humbert will still do enough to get past Medjedovic in three sets.

Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina carries the weight of the numbers. Davidovich Fokina is 4-0 up in their head-to-head. and the record looks even more stubborn when you consider Moutet has not won a set in their meetings. History isn’t the whole story. though—three of those matches were played on clay. a surface where Davidovich Fokina thrives. This time is different: it is their first meeting on grass. a surface that should allow Moutet to be more competitive. The Spaniard has also been out of sorts lately, but Moutet hasn’t exactly been flying either. Even with grass changing the equation, the expectation is that Davidovich Fokina just about takes the encounter in three sets.

Then there’s Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka, a first meeting where momentum and style point in opposite directions. Hijikata has won three straight matches at ATP Queen’s Club after coming through qualifying. which suggests he’s already acclimatised to the tournament and the surface. Lehecka. though. is built for these moments—if he plays anywhere near his best. the Czech can overwhelm opponents with power from the baseline. The prediction for this one is blunt: Lehecka in two sets, despite Hijikata’s recent run.

And the match many will circle—Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulp—feels like the day’s centerpiece. The head-to-head reads 2-0 for van de Zandschulp. But there’s a shift in the temperature around the Dutchman: he won his first match at ATP Queen’s Club. ending a run of four straight defeats. Paul. meanwhile. is the type of player whose game style is suited to all surfaces. and that versatility matters on grass when matches can swing quickly.

Even with van de Zandschulp’s advantage in the head-to-head, Paul is framed as the favourite. Van de Zandschulp is also capable of producing something spectacular at times, which keeps the door open for an upset. Still. what holds the prediction together is the idea that Paul maintains a steadier level for longer spells of matches—enough to recover and control the momentum. The call: Paul in three sets.

By the time Day 4 ends, the grass will have done what it always does in these tournaments—separating the players who can adjust from the ones who simply hope luck swings their way.

ATP Queen’s Club Day 4 predictions Tommy Paul Botic van de Zandschulp Ugo Humbert Hamad Medjedovic Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Corentin Moutet Jiri Lehecka Rinky Hijikata

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