France opened the 2026 World Cup as the clear favorite after beating Senegal, while the United States climbed into the top 10 of BetMGM odds following a 4-1 win over Paraguay. Here’s how all 48 qualified teams currently stack up based on their first-match resu
By the time the first round of World Cup games finished, the betting market had already started to sort contenders from pretenders.
France emerged as the outright top favorite in the 2026 World Cup odds field of 48 teams—the most in tournament history—after a 3-1 win over Senegal. The early shift was significant enough that Spain, entering group play as a co-favorite, saw its odds dip after drawing 0-0 with Cape Verde.
In the U.S., the mood changed after a statement performance. The USMNT climbed into the top 10 of the betting odds after a convincing 4-1 victory over Paraguay. a result that also featured a first-half brace from Folarin Balogun. One cloud remains: star midfielder Christian Pulisic missed the entire second half of the first match with a calf injury. and his status for the next game against Australia remains uncertain.
BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds are listed as of Thursday, June 18, with the ranking reflecting the latest changes after each team’s first match.
France opened as the favorite with +375. Spain followed at +500 after its scoreless draw with Cape Verde. England sat at +550 after Harry Kane’s brace helped power a 4-2 win over Croatia.
Argentina and Portugal were tied next at +800. Argentina’s push came from Lionel Messi’s hat trick against Algeria in a 3-0 victory. while Portugal’s opener ended in a 1-1 draw with DR Congo after Cristiano Ronaldo and the team settled for a point. Brazil closed out the group of early leaders at +900 after Vinícius Júnior’s first-half equalizer helped the team draw 1-1 with Morocco. Germany was listed at +1200 after a 7-1 win over Curaçao. featuring six different scorers and a brace from Kai Havertz.
The Netherlands held steady at +2000 following a 2-2 draw with Japan, where Japan scored its second goal in the 89th minute. Norway’s odds rose to +2800 after Erling Haaland’s brace lifted the team to a 4-1 win over Iraq.
Morocco and the U.S. both ranked at +3300. Morocco moved up after scoring first against Brazil, then settling into a 1-1 draw, while the U.S. surged after its 4-1 win over Paraguay. In that U.S. match. the first-half brace came from Balogun. and Pulisic’s calf injury—enough to sideline him for the entire second half—became the story heading into the Australia matchup.
Belgium fell to +4000 after its 1-1 draw with Egypt, dropping the Red Devils out of the top 10 favorites by betting odds. The next set of teams each landed at +4000 as well: Colombia, Switzerland, and Belgium, reflecting a tighter spread in the market.
Japan came in at +5000.
Mexico and Uruguay were tied at +6600.
Canada and Sweden were each at +8000.
Australia, Austria, Croatia, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, and Senegal were all listed at +10000.
Turkiye sat at +12500. Scotland was at +15000.
Egypt, Paraguay, and South Korea were tied at +20000.
Czezchia, Ghana, and DR Congo were tied at +30000.
Bosnia & Herzegovina was at +40000.
Algeria, Iran, and New Zealand were each at +50000.
Saudi Arabia, Tunisia were tied at +75000.
Cape Verde, Iraq, Jordan, Panama, Qatar, South Africa, and Uzbekistan all sat at +100000.
Curacao and Haiti were tied at +250000.
The sequence of odds changes makes the first round feel like more than a round of matches—it’s the start of a sorting process. France’s win over Senegal placed it alone on top. Spain’s scoreless draw with Cape Verde nudged it down. and the U.S.’s 4-1 win over Paraguay didn’t just improve its odds—it moved it into the top 10 immediately. At the same time. Belgium’s draw with Egypt shows how quickly a team can slide once the betting market gets an early look.
Through one match apiece, the tournament’s 48-team field is no longer a single mass in the market. It’s now divided into favorites, strong early risers, and teams whose opening results have already lengthened their paths—sometimes dramatically—toward the final.
2026 World Cup odds BetMGM France +375 USMNT odds +3300 Pulisic injury World Cup betting power rankings