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Red Sox at Twins: lineups, pitching notes

Red Sox at Twins, 7:40 p.m. and yes, it’s one of those nights where you can almost feel the shift coming before the first pitch. The air in the ballpark always changes—somewhere between the pregame buzz and that first official crack of the bat.

Here’s what to expect when the teams line up. The RED SOX (6-10) send out Anthony LF, Durbin 3B, Yoshida DH, Contreras 1B, Abreu RF, Story SS, Duran CF, Narváez C, Kiner-Falefa 2B. On the mound is RHP Sonny Gray (2-0, 2.76 ERA). For the TWINS (10-7), Buxton CF, Larnach LF, Keaschall 2B, Bell DH, Wallner RF, Caratini C, Clemens 1B, Lee SS, Gray 3B. Their starter is RHP Mick Abel (0-2, 6.08 ERA).

The pitching matchup is where the conversation starts, but it’s not the only thing. Misryoum newsroom reported that in 10 career starts against the Twins, Gray is 3-5 with a 5.19 ERA. And Abel—this is interesting—faces the Red Sox for the first time. Misryoum editorial desk noted that he’s coming off his best start of the season after tossing six shutout innings against the Tigers, a start that didn’t end with him factoring in the decision, in a 3-1 win. So, the Twins get this version of Abel, not necessarily the version his season line suggests.

The Twins are carrying serious momentum too. Misryoum analysis indicates the Twins rank second in the American League with a plus-15 run differential. They’ve also won seven of their last eight games, and manager Derek Shelton’s comments sounded almost like a blueprint for how they’re playing: “This group really likes each other,” Shelton said. “It’s a tight-knit group … and I think the one thing about it is they all understand their roles and they’re all doing a really good job in their roles.” Actually, when teams are that synchronized, it shows up in the small stuff—taking the extra base, handling pressure, and not letting innings snowball.

Matchup trivia is floating around the dugouts as well, because baseball fans can’t help themselves. Misryoum editorial team stated that Willson Contreras is just the fourth Red Sox player this century (and first in 14 years) to reach base at least 30 times in the first 15 games of the season. Roman Anthony has also started in the field twice in past 11 games. Meanwhile, the list of recent head-to-head numbers is stacked: Red Sox vs. Abel has Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1-2, and Twins vs. Gray includes Josh Bell 6-24, Byron Buxton 0-4, Victor Caratini 0-6, Kody Clemens 0-2, Tristan Gray 0-2, Ryan Jeffers 0-2, Trevor Larnach 3-5, Austin Martin 2-2, James Outman 1-2, Matt Wallner 2-5. It’s a lot to digest—maybe not all of it matters the same way once the pitcher is in rhythm.

What might matter most tonight is whether Gray can translate his track record into something cleaner against this lineup, and whether Abel can keep the same shutout sharpness he showed recently. Misryoum newsroom reported that this one starts at 7:40 p.m., with NESN+ and WEEI-FM 93.7 carrying the action. And if the Twins’ run differential is as loud as it sounds, the Red Sox will need to treat every at-bat like it actually counts from pitch one. Or maybe I’m overthinking it—once the first inning lands, it usually gets clearer, fast…

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