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National Oil missing in action as fuel crisis hits home

The National Oil Corporation of Kenya faces scrutiny as recurring fuel crises reveal its diminished capacity, leaving the country vulnerable to private sector volatility despite government-backed plans for stabilization.

The National Oil Corporation of Kenya (NOCK) has found itself in an uncomfortable spotlight during recent weeks, as the country grapples with yet another crippling fuel crisis.. While supply lines falter and consumers brace for the inevitable sting of price hikes, critics are questioning why the state-run entity—designed to be the backbone of national energy security—has become a muted player in the industry.

Industry experts argue that NOCK should have acted as a shock absorber during these volatile times, ensuring that the economy remained insulated from the whims of private oil marketing companies.. Instead, the firm has been relegated to the sidelines, watching as private entities dictate the pace and price of supply.. This absence is particularly stark when compared to regional peers like Tanzania’s TPDC and Uganda’s UNOC, both of which have taken proactive, government-led roles in securing petroleum shipments during global supply chain disruptions.. By failing to intervene, NOCK has left Kenya vulnerable to the very market hoarding and price fluctuations it was originally established to mitigate.

A decline years in the making

NOCK’s current struggles are not merely a product of the latest shortage; they are the result of years of institutional neglect and financial mismanagement.. Once a rising force that controlled a significant market share and operated a robust network of retail stations, the corporation has seen its influence crater.. By the latest industry assessments, the firm has slipped into the category of “others”—a designation for companies holding less than one percent of the market.. This decline was cemented by a mountain of debt accrued during failed expansion attempts, leaving the company insolvent with liabilities that vastly outweigh its assets.. The firm’s struggle is now so severe that even its most basic mandate—the importation of petroleum products—has been effectively outsourced to private firms, leaving the state without a direct hand on the wheel when the market turns sour.

The ghost in the G-2-G machine

The controversy surrounding the Government-to-Government (G-2-G) fuel deal has only intensified the frustration among policymakers and the public.. Ideally, a state-led oil framework should involve the national corporation as the primary representative for the country.. However, Kenya’s arrangement with Gulf oil firms bypassed NOCK entirely, opting instead for private marketing companies.. This decision has sparked heated debates in political circles, with former officials questioning why the government chose to empower private intermediaries rather than utilizing its own established agency.. The result is a system where the government claims to oversee the sector, yet remains seemingly helpless to enforce compliance, fearful of disrupting the private companies that now hold the keys to the country’s energy supply.

Strategic reserves: The missing safety net

Beyond the daily management of fuel, the absence of a robust national oil reserve remains the most glaring failure in Kenya’s energy policy.. Many countries maintain strategic stockpiles that allow them to draw down supplies during times of price spikes or supply chain ruptures.. Had Kenya invested in such reserves, the current market panic could have been averted.. Instead, motorists continue to pay a Petroleum Development Levy—funds theoretically meant to cushion consumers—while NOCK receives billions in state subsidies without achieving the necessary market stability.. The path forward remains unclear, but it is evident that without a fundamental shift in how the government empowers its state-owned entities, the cycle of shortages will likely continue, leaving the average consumer to bear the cost of institutional silence.

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