Dustin Johnson enters the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club after missing the cut in both 2024 and 2025. His U.S. Open struggles—paired with a lack of top-20 finishes over his last ten appearances—set the stakes for June 18–21 as he tries to redisco
When Dustin Johnson tees off at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club from June 18–21, the pressure won’t be abstract. It has a pattern—and it comes straight from his last U.S. Open starts.
The American has struggled in recent U.S. Open appearances, missing the cut in both 2024 and 2025. In 2025, he posted a score of 10-over before going home early, recording a 75-75. In 2024, he also missed the cut, turning in 74-75 for 9-over.
That history matters because his last decade of U.S. Open resumes hasn’t produced relief either. His best finish at this event came in 2021, when he finished tied for sixth at 5-over. Since then, the tournament has too often swallowed him before Sunday.
What Johnson is trying to fix now sits alongside a wider run of performances. He has not recorded any top-20 finishes over his last ten appearances. His best finish in that stretch came at The Open Championship, where he finished tied for 23rd with a score of 6-under.
The betting conversation heading into the 2026 U.S. Open is likely to focus on the same question fans and bettors keep coming back to: is this a golfer still capable of showing up when it matters, or is this the new baseline?
This season’s numbers offer a mixed picture. Johnson has an average of 0.390 Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee in his past five tournaments. and a 0.144 average for his Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee across those recent events. In terms of approach play. his average of 0.098 Strokes Gained: Approach the Green in his past five tournaments contrasts with his overall Strokes Gained: Total average of -0.370 during that same span.
The broader rankings reinforce that tension. His Strokes Gained rankings show an Overall TOUR rank of 0.390 for Off-the-Tee, -0.622 for Approach the Green, -0.410 for Around-the-Green, -0.268 for Putting, and -0.871 for Total across the last five starts.
He hasn’t just struggled in scoring—he’s also been inconsistent at the specific skills that swing Sunday rounds. On the greens this season, Johnson has posted a 0.268 Strokes Gained: Putting mark. He has averaged 28.88 putts per round, broken par 15.97% of the time, and has a bogey avoidance rate of 16.67%. Off the tee, his driving distance has averaged 324.1 yards.
Approach to the green is where the doubt can creep back in. Johnson has hit 59.72% of greens in regulation this season, and his overall Strokes Gained: Total remains negative in the past five-tournament window—an uncomfortable combination when a major like the U.S. Open punishes small misses.
The tournament schedule adds another layer of immediacy: his next start is set for the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, running June 18–21. The last time he was on a major stage, the results didn’t suggest an easy path back.
At the 2025 U.S. Open, he finished the event early after going 10-over. In the most recent PGA Championship and Masters runs listed in his 2026 major timeline. he has a T4 at the May 17. 2026 PGA Championship with round scores of 72-70-68-72 (+2). and a T3 at the April 12. 2026 Masters Tournament with round scores of 73-71-75-69 (E). At The Open Championship on July 20, 2025, he finished T2 with scores of 73-69-67-69 (-6), but the U.S. Open has been the one that’s repeatedly cut him loose.
For all the stats. the decision each week still comes down to whether the work translates into one full week of golf. Johnson will tee off at Shinnecock Hills with a history that says he’s capable of breaking through—T6 in 2021. tied for sixth at 5-over—but also a warning that his last two U.S. Opens have ended at the halfway mark.
All of the performance data in this profile is accurate for Johnson as of the start of the U.S. Open. The PGA TOUR notes that player performance data comes from ShotLink powered by CDW. and that the story was created using AWS Gen AI technology. While efforts are made for accuracy and quality, the information provided may not be entirely error-free.
Dustin Johnson U.S. Open 2026 Shinnecock Hills PGA TOUR betting profile missed cut strokes gained
So he just goes somewhere and hopes it’s different? Golf is wild.
I’m confused… it says he missed the cut in 2024 and 2025 but then they say “sets the stakes” like he’s already doing great? Either way, Shinnecock feels cursed.
He posted 10-over with those two 75s and still the article is acting like he’s “trying to fix” his U.S. Open. Like bro that’s basically you already lost, no? Also betting talk is always nonsense to me, they’ll be like “new baseline” after one decent round.
Can’t believe it’s June 18-21 again already, feels like this tournament happens forever. If he hasn’t had a top-20 in ten appearances, why are they even calling it “when it matters” like he’s gonna suddenly flip a switch. I read somewhere Shinnecock punishes drivers, so maybe his off-the-tee strokes gained being like 0.390 or whatever means he’s actually worse, idk.