Rugby’s High-Stakes Bet: Can the Sport Crack the US Market?

World Rugby chair Brett Robinson is pushing an ambitious agenda to expand the game, with a pivotal focus on the 2031 World Cup in the United States despite significant financial and growth hurdles.
World Rugby chair Brett Robinson has issued a clear directive to the sport’s governing body: adapt or risk stagnation in an increasingly crowded global sports landscape.
As the game faces mounting pressure from financial instability in traditional markets and the rise of competing codes, Robinson maintains that the sport is in a period of vital transition.. The primary objective is no longer just maintaining the status quo in historic heartlands like New Zealand or Wales, but aggressively pursuing growth in untapped territories—most notably, the United States.. With the 2031 Rugby World Cup looming as a potential watershed moment for North American expansion, the pressure to deliver a commercially viable product is at an all-time high.
The Challenge of New Frontiers
Expansion into the United States is far from a guaranteed success.. The North American sports market is famously unforgiving, and rugby currently finds itself in a precarious position there, with the professional Major League Rugby competition recently experiencing significant contraction.. Critics point to the shrinking league and the struggles of the national team as evidence that rugby remains a niche interest.. However, Robinson is betting on a long-term play, focusing on building fan engagement through a series of high-profile international test matches in American cities leading up to the main event.. By identifying 12 to 14 host cities, the organization hopes to create a footprint that justifies the massive investment required to stage the tournament.
The Balance of Tradition and Innovation
While the American dream captures the headlines, the sport is battling internal tremors closer to home.. The folding of clubs like Moana Pasifika and the shifting popularity of rugby in Wales highlight the difficulty of sustaining professional structures in traditional regions.. These issues are often exacerbated by the sport’s struggle to maintain relevance against the overwhelming reach of football and other professional leagues.. Robinson argues that the sport remains in “rude health” globally, citing strong participation numbers among women, which he believes will be a driving force for the 2033 Women’s World Cup in North America.
Behind these organizational charts and strategic plans lies a fundamental question about the identity of the sport itself.. Rugby has historically relied on a strong club culture that binds local communities, a model that is currently being stress-tested by the demands of modern professionalization.. The transition toward a more globalized, spectacle-driven model—exemplified by the massive ticket demand for the upcoming Australian World Cup—risks alienating the grassroots supporters who have sustained the game for generations.. Finding a middle ground where the professional product thrives without sacrificing the community-centric roots of the sport remains the biggest hurdle for leadership.
Looking ahead, the success of the next decade hinges on more than just tournament logistics.. It requires a fundamental shift in how the sport is packaged for a digital-first audience that is less interested in traditional club loyalties and more drawn to high-intensity, episodic competition.. If World Rugby can leverage the sheer scale of the US market while simultaneously stabilizing its historical strongholds, it may secure its future.. If not, the sport risks becoming a regional curiosity in a world dominated by larger, more agile sporting enterprises.