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Roman Safiullin vs. Flavio Cobolli prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday’s Safiullin-Cobolli men’s singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently can’t split the two players, giving both Safiullin and Cobolli a 50% chance of winning the match.
Additionally, Safiullin has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Safiullin (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Flavio Cobolli -111, Roman Safiullin -104
  • First Set: Safiullin -111, Cobolli -111

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Cobolli @ -111 via DraftKings
  • First Set: Cobolli @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Flavio Cobolli to win.

Although Cobolli is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Roman Safiullin and Flavio Cobolli is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 2:10 AM ET.

  • Who: Roman Safiullin vs. Flavio Cobolli
  • Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 2:10 AM ET/11:10PM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men’s Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict a close match between Safiullin and Cobolli on Thursday, with each player having a 50% chance of winning.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article’s predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers’ proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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