Trump approval – Misryoum reports a new low in daily approval tracking, driven by a surge in strong disapproval among likely voters.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to a fresh second-term low, with likely voters showing a growing intensity of disapproval that is reshaping the political temperature heading into the next stretch of election season, Misryoum reports.
In a daily tracking snapshot. Trump’s overall approval index landed at -23. reflecting a wide gap between strong approval and strong disapproval among likely voters.. The survey found 25 percent strongly approve and 48 percent strongly disapprove. resulting in 41 percent approval and 57 percent disapproval—an unusually negative spread for Trump in the series.
What stands out in this update is not only that approval is lower, but that “strong” disapproval is rising. In political terms, that matters because entrenched views are more likely to translate into turnout and vote decisions, particularly in closely contested House and Senate districts.
The trajectory in the tracking poll points to gradual erosion over time rather than a sudden collapse. Misryoum notes the pattern shows a steady decline in strong approval across the year, while strong disapproval climbs and becomes more dominant, leaving the index negative and widening into spring.
As the numbers slid further in late April and early May. the gap intensified again. with strong disapproval reaching 48 percent and strong approval falling into the mid-20s.. The polling also suggests that any earlier stabilization did not fully hold. as the index moved from around the mid-teens to the new low.
This kind of change is consequential for the White House and the Republican coalition because it signals trouble not just with persuasive voters, but with the depth of opposition. When disapproval hardens, it can narrow the space for campaigns to “win back” undecided voters.
Misryoum also reports that broader polling signals are moving in the same direction, aligning with the daily tracking picture. The broader message across multiple measures is consistent: negative ratings are persisting, and net approval stands at or near low points in those comparisons.
Trump and his team have pushed back on negative readings, framing polling results as less meaningful than election outcomes. The White House, in response to the downward trend, pointed to the results of the 2024 election as evidence that public support remains strong.
In the final analysis, Misryoum notes the immediate political impact will likely show up in campaign strategy and message discipline.. When a president’s ratings slip while strong disapproval grows. it can raise the bar for Republicans defending seats in battleground areas and can constrain how effectively the White House reframes events for voters.