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John Phillips urges GOP to target a lockout in California primary

California primary – John Phillips argues Republicans should aim for a Democratic lockout so both GOP candidates advance to November in California’s top-two system.

A prominent California commentator is urging Republicans to think beyond individual preferences and focus on a specific primary strategy.

In a message circulated during election season. Misryoum reports that John Phillips framed the state’s top-two primary as the moment where party choices can shape what happens later in November.. Phillips points to the June vote as the gatekeeping step. insisting that the path to a Republican governor depends on which two candidates advance rather than simply who wins the most support.

Misryoum notes Phillips also addresses a question many GOP voters are asking: whether they should back Steve Hilton or Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco.. His position is that both are acceptable options. with Hilton described as someone who has spent years engaging with California’s policy and economic challenges. and Bianco presented as a sheriff whose approach has been seen in his local context.

The heart of the argument is tactical.. Phillips says Republicans’ best chance comes from enabling a “Democratic lockout,” meaning two Republicans advance to the November ballot.. Under California’s top-two structure. he argues. that scenario offers the clearest way for voters to translate primary results into a realistic shot at the general election.

In Phillips’ view, the mechanics of the system matter because splitting attention too broadly can change who reaches November.. Misryoum describes the strategist’s concern that messaging and endorsements could push parts of the electorate toward one candidate. making it harder for Republicans to produce the close-to-even split he believes improves the odds of a lockout.

Insight: This kind of “vote-splitting” debate tends to intensify in states with top-two systems because the primary effectively becomes a probability problem, not only a popularity contest.

Phillips further suggests a practical way for voters to align their ballots with that goal. characterizing some voters as more likely to follow cues while others. in his framing. are more engaged and deliberate.. He encourages higher-engagement Republicans to consider Bianco. while acknowledging that low-information voting patterns could tilt toward Hilton in ways that complicate the targeted outcome.

Insight: For voters, the real takeaway is that strategy-driven voting can feel uncomfortable, but it often reflects how election structures reward specific endgames.

At the end of his remarks, Misryoum reports that Phillips says he will vote for Chad Bianco in June, tying the choice to his broader argument about what maximizes Republicans’ chances under the state’s primary rules.

Insight: Regardless of who individual voters prefer, the debate highlights how the “who advances” question can dominate the early phase of an election cycle, shaping the choices that come later.

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