President Trump’s net approval rating among naturalized citizens has fallen 44 points since his second-term inauguration, signaling a dramatic shift in a key 2024 demographic.
The political coalition that helped carry Donald Trump to victory in 2024 is fraying. and nowhere is that erosion more visible than among naturalized citizens. In the span of just two years. the President’s net approval rating within this group has collapsed by 44 points. a reversal that threatens to reshape the landscape for Republicans in upcoming contests.
Data from the Pew Research Center tracks the freefall from a -2 net approval rating to a striking -46. For a demographic that provided historic levels of support for the President during his campaign, the shift marks an abrupt departure from the momentum of the last election cycle.
At the center of this disconnect is the administration’s aggressive approach to border enforcement. Sixty percent of immigrant voters now state they believe the President has gone too far with his deportation policies. The initial optimism that fueled his 2024 gains has been replaced by a perception of harshness. leaving many who voted for his economic platform feeling as though the reality of his second term does not match the promises they believed they were endorsing.
This trend carries immediate consequences for the broader party. While the President is not on the ballot this November. his dwindling popularity with immigrant voters creates a vacuum that Democrats are filling. House Democrats currently hold a net 22% support among naturalized citizens. a significant lead compared to the 4% margin Vice President Kamala Harris maintained during her race against Trump.
The math for the Republican Party is becoming increasingly precarious. The party’s inability to retain the very voters who delivered big gains in 2024 suggests a mounting difficulty in maintaining coalition stability. As the administration continues to prioritize its deportation agenda. it risks alienating a voting bloc that previously proved essential to its path to power.
Trump approval naturalized citizens immigrant voters deportation policy 2024 election Republican Party polling data